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Three Words to Heed for GM Stock: Gartner’s “Trough of Disillusionment” The bottom line is that GM is correct to prepare for tough times, but they are not disclosing the true timeline for long-range electric vehicle and autonomous vehicle deployment and investors will have to wait years before they see any real profit from new production lines. The lack of reallocation conflicts with statements from the company CEO, Mary Barra, who promised the company would double investment in electric vehicles and self-driving technology during this week’s announcement. In light of the recent layouts, there is $1.5 billion of reduced capex that the company will be saving by cutting the low-demand production lines and the anticipated plant closures (a drop in the bucket compared to the annual capex of $27.5 billion), however, the $1.5 billion capex is not being reinvested into electric vehicles or autonomous vehicle production at this time. Investors in GM stock should be cautious, and realistic, as to when new revenue streams will occur, as cutting costs, even to the tune of a net savings of $4.5 billion, might not be enough to wait out the innovation cycle. This week, General Motors Company cut more than 14,000 salaried staff and factory workers with plans to close seven factories worldwide in what Bloomberg calls a “sweeping realignment to prepare for a future of electric and self-driving vehicles.” Unfortunately for GM, and their employees, the future of autonomous vehicles is much farther off than what the company represents.
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